SA Research Desk

Introducing Anti-‘ES’G smallcase by Stalwart Advisors

Posted by | Investing Framework | No Comments

Excesses at one end often create opportunities at the other, which can be leveraged by pragmatic investors. Environmental, Social & Corporate Governance (ESG) theme has gained tremendous momentum over the last few years with billions of dollars flowing out of companies that score low on some arbitrary parameters, to the companies that score high. In simple terms, it is a framework to rate businesses on how good are they for the environment, society and whether they have sound governance. On paper, this is certainly a desirable concept, but in practice it is extremely subjective with rating frameworks as well as corporates, trying to manipulate the system to suit their beliefs and situations. Investors are made to believe they can make excess returns while morally feeling good about it. The money …

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APL Apollo – A 5-Bagger in 2.5 Years

Posted by | Business Models, Stocks | No Comments

We bought APL Apollo at Rs 1,269 a share, in Oct 2018, and recently exited at a price of Rs 1,258 a share, however after the stock split of 5 for 1. At an unadjusted price of Rs 6,300, the stock has been a 5-bagger for us in 2.5 years. It’s been a great ride and we love the extra-ordinary execution by the management team in an otherwise slow-growing commoditized industry. We had hoped annual volumes to move closer to 2mn from 1.1mn, EBTIDA per ton to move from Rs 3,000 to over Rs 4,000, and net profit to move from 150 Cr towards Rs 400 Cr. Luckily the thesis played out perfectly and the market cap moved from Rs 3,000 Cr to over Rs 15,000 Cr. What’s heartening is …

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Only 2.5% of 8,000 Listed Indian Stocks Are Investable; Here’s The List

Posted by | Indian Markets, Investing Framework | 2 Comments

A lot of us have the quest to unearth those high-quality stocks which will create wealth for us, but how do we figure out which are those 15-20-25 stocks worthy of being in our portfolio from over 7,800 stocks listed on the Indian stock exchanges? Looking for the ‘right’ stocks from this vast universe is akin to looking for a needle in a haystack, you often end up wasting too much time with not so satisfactory outcome. As minority investors, it is difficult to conclude with any degree of confidence that a specific company is high-quality, which is often an abused term to just refer to a bunch of stocks which recently outperformed the markets like small-caps in 2017 or large-cap consumer stocks in 2019. But how about we turn the question on its head …

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Three Forms of Value Investing

Posted by | Investing Framework | One Comment

While there are various styles of investing, we can categorize them under three key heads: Special Situations (Arbitrage): Open offers, rights issue, mergers would all fall under this category. One is betting on a specific corporate action with well-defined timelines and aim to make a certain return independent of what happens to the company’s fundamentals or market sentiment. Typically aim is to beat fixed income return while not taking any material risk. Holding period ranges between few days to few months. Re-investment risk is high as one has to keep looking for new opportunities which also involves sitting on cash in between. (Suggested Reading: You Can Be A Stock Market Genius By Joel Greenblatt) Statistical Bargains: These are average businesses which are available very cheap – below liquidation value/cash, at …

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Forget market-caps, here’s how we classify stocks

Posted by | Food for thought, Investing Framework | No Comments

Mega-Caps, Large-Caps, Mid-Caps, Small-Caps, Micro-Caps, Nano-Caps… As if the business analysis wasn’t complicated enough, we have divided the universe based on size as well. But does size really matter? The answer will be a big yes if you are running a mutual fund, or some other regulated fund like a pension fund, which has to 1). Comply with SEBI guideline and stick to fund mandate by investing in the universe of stocks which comply with that and 2). Ensure enough liquidity so as to be able to enter and exit with minimal impact cost. But the same isn’t true for individual investors and in fact is their biggest advantage (See Jatin Khemani’s presentation on ‘Individual Investor’s Real Edge – TIA 28th Jan 2017’). Generally speaking, large caps have been around for …

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Anti-Fragile – 20 Companies that are century-old

Posted by | Food for thought, Investing Framework | One Comment

We should prefer investing in businesses that are hard to kill. But how do we assess that? In 1950s average life cycle of a business was around 80 years, today it is less than 20 years. Clearly, entrepreneurship is more like a deadly roller coaster than just a smooth sail. Disruption has always been prevalent but what has changed is the speed and complexity with which things get disrupted. Whenever one talks about disruption, one has to bring up anti-fragility and how important it is to have in a business. Such a business has the potential not just to survive the test of times but thrive in chaos. Businesses that have a very little rate of change, low dependence on suppliers/government and are run conservatively have a higher chance of …

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[Video] Stock Idea Presentation at TIA’s 20:20 Ideas Summit by Jatin Khemani – 20th Oct, Chennai

Posted by | Investing Framework, Investor Meetup, Stocks | No Comments

A Stock Idea presentation delivered at TIA’s 20:20 Ideas Summit at GRT Grand, Chennai on 20th October 2018 by Jatin Khemani, CEO & Founder of Stalwart Advisors: Presentation (Video):   Presentation (Slides): FREE Access to Initiating Coverage Report & AGM Note on this stock idea on Guest Dashboard https://investor.stalwartvalue.com/ First-time visitors need to register to log in to the dashboard. For any queries or feedback, please write to us at support@stalwartvalue.com Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation to Buy/Sell. Read complete  disclaimer here .

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[Video] ‘The Art of Selling Stocks’ Presentation at IC 2018, Goa by Jatin Khemani

Posted by | Food for thought, Investing Framework, Stocks | No Comments

Jatin Khemani, CEO of Stalwart Advisors presented on ‘The Art of Selling Stocks‘ at Investors Carnival, Goa, 4-8th October 2018. Having a sound exit strategy is crucial to protect gains for value investors. This presentation covers Stalwart Advisors’ framework developed over the years through own mistakes as well as vicarious learning along with numerous case studies to help investors understand the nuances better. The conference was covered by BloombergQuint. The video of the talk along with slides can be accessed below: Link to Video: The Art of Selling Stocks Presentation Slides:  

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Are We In A Bear Market?

Posted by | Food for thought, Indian Markets, Investing Framework, Stocks | 2 Comments

You might be feeling it’s an odd title given CNX Nifty (which consists of India’s top 50 companies) is merely 3.7% below its all-time high of 11,171, hit in Jan 2018. Median drop in Nifty 50 Stocks from their 52-week high though is 17%, but the index is holding up thanks to a few heavyweights like HDFC Duo & Reliance hitting lifetime highs. But what about broader markets? Following is some eye-popping performance data about the 1,584 stocks listed on BSE with a market capitalization of more than Rs 100 Cr. as on 25th June 2018: Fall from 52-week high  (Source: Ace Equity, Stalwart Advisors Research) No. of Stocks >= 60% 106 50% – 59% 175 40% – 49% 289 30% – 39% 359 20% – 29% 336 The median fall for these …

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[Video] Presentation on Wind Energy Revival & Proxies for Investors

Posted by | Industries, Investing Framework, Scuttlebutt, Stocks | No Comments

Presentation by Jatin Khemani, Founder & CEO, Stalwart Advisors on Wind Energy Revival & Proxies Presentation (Video): Notes to Video: 00:00 Introduction 00:40 Wind Energy – Journey 01:20 FY18 Regime Change 05:30 Old Regime Vs New 09:15 Coal Vs Solar Vs Wind 10:00 Visibility for FY19 12:50 India’s Energy Target 2022 14:20 Key Concerns 18:40 Q4FY18 Turning Point? 19:30 Proxies for Investors 20:58 Disclosures Presentation (Slides): For any queries or feedback, please write to us at support@stalwartvalue.com

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