Industries

Is Real Estate Turning Around?

Posted by | Food for thought, Indian Markets, Industries | One Comment

If past history was all that is needed to play the game of money, the richest people would be librarians. — Warren Buffet

What happens to a sector after a prolonged slowdown? – Mean Reversion?
What happens to a sector when Government channelizes its resources behind it? – Grows Fast?
What happens to a sector when there is a huge pent-up demand? – Tailwind?
And what happens when all three coincide?
Government seems to be seriously working towards achieving its stated goal of ‘Housing For All’ by 2022 which would require 20 mn new houses. Credit Linked Subsidy Scheme (CLSS) is a material development in that direction. Under this scheme, interest subsidy of 4 per cent on housing loans up to Rs 9 lakh for those who have

Read More

[Video] Talk delivered at FIL Alumni Meet, Pune – July 2016

Posted by | Business Models, Food for thought, Industries, Investing Framework, Stocks | 15 Comments

Recently I had the privilege of sharing my thoughts on investing with my fellow FIL Alumni at Flame University, Pune. The video, along with the presentation, is shared below. I talked about ‘India’s Consolidation Wave'; how the organized players stand a great chance to grow amidst an on-going shift in consumer preferences towards standardised and branded offerings.
Video_India’s Consolidation Wave

Notes on Video (Time 31:11)

00:00 Introduction
01:00 Drivers of Long-term Returns
03:00 Case Studies – Page Industries & Relaxo Footwear
04:30 Defining Unorganised Sector
05:50 Industry Research Filters Applied
06:40 List of Industries with high potential
24:45 Case Study – Decorative Paints (1980 – 2016)
26:48 GST: A big enabler
29:00 Value Migration Vs. Consolidation Wave
30:25 Summary

Presentation_India’s Consolidation Wave

For convenient reading switch to full screen mode

Read More